Line of Scrimmage: Saints' Night, Manning's Nightmare
Football Betting Lines
02/07/2010 -
Miami Gardens, FL (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Raise your umbrella and your Hurricane
glass to the New Orleans Saints, who are Super Bowl XLIV champions because
they were flat-out better than the Colts in an incredible, exhilarating upset
victory that capped off a dream season.
And as you pat the undeniably likable Saints on the back, weep for the equally
likable Peyton Manning.
This is one that Manning will have to carry with him for the rest of his days,
irrespective of whether he raises another Lombardi Trophy or he doesn't. This
was not just a Super Bowl loss. This was a Super Bowl loss to THE SAINTS.
Manning can now look forward to the fact that, in every trip he makes to his
native New Orleans for the rest of his life, he will get to listen to his high
school buddies and his parents' neighbors and the guy at the rental car
counter and the waitress at the restaurant remind him that he lost to the
Saints. This will be horrendous, like losing a game of ping-pong to your
loudmouth brother-in-law who will never, ever let you forget, and also refuses
to play you again.
OK, for Manning, it might just be worse than that. Every accomplishment he
will ever accumulate over the rest of his career will be answered by New
Orleanians with one, four-word utterance.
A Hall of Fame plaque? Didn't beat the Saints.
Every meaningful NFL passing record? Didn't beat the Saints.
Another Super Bowl title? Didn't beat the Saints (presumably).
Look, Manning is a popular figure in New Orleans, and this is the way it had
to be if the Saints wanted to win the first title in their 43-year history.
But isn't it ironic that the bone of contention in elevating Manning (31-
of-45, 333 yards, 1 TD, 1 INT) into the discussion of the greatest ever is a
loss to his dad's team, to the team whose uniform he used to wear in his
backyard as a youth?
Meanwhile, if it hadn't been passed already, the torch of local quarterbacking
hero was transferred in Miami from the native Manning to the meticulous Texan
Drew Brees. Brees was surgical against the Colts, completing 32-of-39 passes
for 288 yards and two touchdowns and winning MVP honors in runaway fashion.
Over the final three quarters, in which the Saints outscored the Colts, 31-7,
Brees was a mere 29-of-32 for 261 yards, two touchdowns, and no turnovers. He
threw one incompletion in the second-half. One. Don't go looking for another
Super Bowl performance like that any time soon. Any lingering doubts about
whether Brees was just a fantasy stud, a figure like Marino, Fouts or Moon who
was a great numbers guy but lacked whatever it took to be a champion, blew
away like the ticker-tape littering the Sun Life Stadium field.
Brees, at six-feet-tall in the right shoes, is never going to be the most
physically imposing guy in the quarterback club. But with this win, which came
just four years after he suffered a potentially career-threatening shoulder
injury as a Charger, he has just given pause to every scout who would dismiss
a quarterback prospect that lacks something called "an NFL body." Ryan Leaf
had a great NFL body, by the way.
Brees' head coach, Sean Payton, was vindicated as well. Many of us scratched
our heads back in the winter of 2006, when Payton took on what seemed like a
near-hopeless case, one that transcended football. Why, we wondered, would one
of the hottest assistants in the NFL accept a job in a destroyed American
city, for a team that didn't look ready to win any time soon, for an owner
that seemed ready to move his team to San Antonio or Los Angeles or somewhere
else? Clearly, Payton saw something the rest of us didn't.
And here he is. A champion and a deserving one.
Then there is New Orleans, the Crescent City, which wins its first major
sports championship in thrilling fashion. Much will be made of the Saints'
mission to lift spirits in a region that is still working hard to recover from
the effects of Hurricane Katrina.
Well, that tale, however heart-warming, is awkwardly told. I'm not quite sure
what the Saints fans in Miami who could afford $1500 Super Bowl tickets have
to do with the families of the Lower Ninth Ward whose lives were torn apart in
August of 2005, but let's hope they can all find some common ground by
celebrating the accomplishments of this football team.
Where do the Saints go from here? Hard to say. This should be a very good team
again next year, though there are some free agent decisions to be made and who
knows whether this season's unbelievable chemistry will hold. Given the
ramifications of the broken-down labor talks, and the effect a potential
elimination of the salary cap will have on small-market teams, who's to say
whether the Saints will be able to compete 10 or even five years down the
line.
But these questions are for another time and place. For now, it's on to Mardi
Gras, which this year, even more than most, will be one of the wildest
celebrations the City of New Orleans has ever seen.
PICKING A WINNER
Though Brees' play will likely serve to define Super Bowl XLIV, the enduring
single moment of the game will probably be Tracy Porter's game-sealing 74-yard
interception return for a touchdown in the fourth quarter. Down 24-17,
Manning had driven the Colts to the Saints 31-yard line, where he had a 3rd-
and-5 play. Porter stepped in front of a short pass intended for Reggie Wayne,
dashing untouched to the end zone as the pro-New Orleans contingent exploded.
"It was great film study," said Porter of the play. "We knew that on third-
and-short they stack, and they like the outside release for the slant. It was
great film study by me, a great jump and a great play."
Including the regular season, the Saints defense scored eight touchdowns in
2010.
"It's the kind of play we've run a lot and Porter just made a great play,"
Manning said.
ANKLES AWAY
After two weeks of talk about the health of his right ankle, Colts defensive
end Dwight Freeney did in fact suit up for Indianapolis, and had the game's
only sack when he dragged down Brees in the second quarter. That said, the
perennial Pro Bowler appeared to be favoring the ankle as the game wore on,
and Freeney admitted that it stiffened up on him at halftime. Westwood One's
Mark Malone revealed in a sideline report that Freeney's swollen ankle and
calf were roughly the same size as the player was being re-taped.
"It's hard to put percentages on it," Freeney said of his health. "Obviously
it wasn't 100 [percent]. It was kind of hard. It loosened a little bit in the
second half.
THE GAMBLER
Once it worked, once it didn't. Payton rolled the dice with his team trailing
10-3 late in the second quarter, opting to leave his offense on the field on a
4th-and-goal play at the 1-yard line. Pierre Thomas was stood up by linebacker
Gary Brackett on the play, handing the ball back to Indianapolis and snuffing
out the Saints' best touchdown chance up to that point. New Orleans would,
however, force a punt and cut the halftime lead to 10-6 on Hartley's second
field goal of the game.
Clearly, Payton's gambling spirit wasn't diminished by the failure. The Saints
stunned the Colts by attempting, and recovering, an onside kick to start the
second half. Six plays after Jonathan Casillas made the recovery, Brees hit
running back Pierre Thomas on a 16-yard screen pass for a touchdown to give
the Saints their first lead at 13-10.
"We knew we were going to call it at some point, and we made the decision we
were going to do it [at halftime]," Payton said of the onside kick. "At
halftime I just told them, 'Hey, we're going to open up the second half with
this. It's going to be a great play.'"
OFFICIALLY SPEAKING
Scott Green's officiating crew was not without a few hiccups in Super Bowl
XLIV, though to the crew's credit, there was not a call that directly affected
the outcome of the contest.
The most controversial decision came in the fourth quarter, when Green
overturned a two-point conversion catch by Lance Moore that had been ruled
incomplete. Moore did not complete the catch all the way to the ground, and
similar plays in the end zone (such as a TD catch by the Raiders' Louis Murphy
in Week 1) had been ruled incomplete all season. According to CBS' Boomer
Esiason, NFL Director of Officials Mike Pereira said the call was the correct
one, because as soon as the ball breaks the plane of the goal line, it's a
dead play. That explanation would seem to conflict with previous NFL rulings,
though again, it did not impact the final score.
The other major miss came on the Saints' first points of the game. Tackle Zach
Strief ran onto the field late and did not report as eligible on Garrett
Hartley's second-quarter field goal, which should have resulted in a procedure
penalty that pushed the distance of the trifecta from 46 to 51 yards.
ODDS AND ENDS
-Colts coach Jim Caldwell, who was the first rookie coach to reach a Super
Bowl since the Raiders' Bill Callahan in 2002, failed to become the first
rookie since the 49ers' George Seifert in 1989 to win the big one.
-Saints kicker Garrett Hartley connected on field goals of 46, 44, and 47
yards, becoming the first player in Super Bowl history to hit three field
goals of 40 yards or longer.
-The Saints overcame a 10-point deficit, matching the biggest comeback in NFL
history. The 1989 Redskins were behind against the Broncos, 10-0, in Super
Bowl XXII before winning the game, 42-10.
-At 42 years of age, Colts kicker Matt Stover became the oldest player in
Super Bowl history. Stover kicked off the scoring with a 38-yard field goal in
the first-quarter, and made two extra-points following Colts touchdowns.
Stover also attempted a 51-yard field goal in the fourth quarter, which he
missed. Stover had been 0-for-3 from 50 yards plus since 2007, with his last
make from that distance coming as a member of the Ravens in 2006.
-Brees' 32 completions tied a Super Bowl record, matching Tom Brady's mark set
against the Panthers in Super Bowl XXXVIII.
-With their win, the Saints join the Ravens, Jets, and Buccaneers as teams to
prevail in their lone Super Bowl appearance.
-The Saints are the first No. 1 seed to win the Super Bowl since the 2003
Patriots, and the first No. 1 seed from the NFC to take home the title since
the 1999 Rams. New Orleans is also the first club since that St. Louis squad
to win a Super Bowl after leading the league in scoring.
-During their playoff run, the Saints defeated three quarterbacks - Manning,
Brett Favre, and Kurt Warner - who had previously won Super Bowls. No other
team in NFL history has accomplished that feat.
"WHO" ELSE WAS LEFT YAWNING?
I'm a pretty decent-sized fan of the The Who. I own Tommy, a couple of Pete
Townshend solo albums, and am glad I can now say I saw them play in a live
setting. But their halftime mini-set of four songs (including the "See Me,
Feel Me" interlude from Tommy) that have been pummeled to death on classic
rock radio over the past 25 years, before being run out on the ubiquitous CSI
series, left much to be desired. Again, I'm very grateful that the NFL didn't
try to pass off world-class hacks Bon Jovi as halftime entertainment, but now
that all of the monsters of another generation (McCartney, Petty, Springsteen,
and the Stones) have taken their Super Bowl turn, it might be time for the
league to re-think the halftime concept.
As for the pregame, while I generally think Carrie Underwood is what is wrong
with country music (though not as much as Kenny Chesney), I'm happy to report
I thought her understated, classy rendition of the national anthem was very
well done. Queen Latifah's "America the Beautiful," meanwhile, was as
embarrassing as her and Underwood's eye-rolling Thursday afternoon press
conference.
TAKING A BOW
Jerry Rice and Emmitt Smith were the big story when the Pro Football Hall of
Fame class was announced on Saturday, though Redskins o-lineman Russ Grimm,
Saints pass rusher Rickey Jackson, Vikings defensive tackle John Randle, and
two veteran's committee selections - Broncos running back Floyd Little and
Lions cornerback Dick LeBeau - were named to the 2010 class as well. Rice and
Smith, the NFL's all-time leading receiver and rusher, respectively, figure to
hog the spotlight at the induction ceremonies on Aug. 7 in Canton, OH.
Among those who fell short of the votes needed for induction were Vikings wide
receiver Cris Carter, Broncos/Ravens tight end Shannon Sharpe, 49ers/Cowboys
pass rusher Charles Haley, Bills receiver Andre Reed, Raiders receiver Tim
Brown, and Seahawks defensive end Cortez Kennedy, among others. In my mind,
the biggest snubs were Carter (who didn't even make the cut-down from 17 to
10, inexplicably) and Sharpe, both of whom had Hall of Fame careers but
reflect an apparent bias among Hall of Fame voters against pass-catchers
(remember how long it took Art Monk to get in?). Then again, any receiver who
made the field in the same year as Rice would have looked puny in comparison.
SUNSHINE STATE SUPERLATIVES
Kudos to the South Florida Super Bowl committee for another job well done in
hosting Super Bowl XLIV. After 10 Super Bowls, this is a group that knows what
it's doing, and it shows. Three years ago, all of the media festivities took
place in Miami. This year they were in Fort Lauderdale, which was a dramatic
improvement in terms of location. All of the media hotels were within walking
distance of the media center, which is a first for the six Super Bowls I've
covered. Next year's event, at the palatial new Cowboys Stadium in Arlington,
TX, should be a spectacle to say the least.
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MVP didn't get enough support from his teammates, and in the end a costly
interce
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While the NFL is the sport wagered on the heaviest, college football betting lines has become more and more popular as people realize it’s a game that can be beat. The NCAA football season gets longer each year with the addition of numerous bowl games and with that comes more opportunities for more money in your pocket, if handled correctly.
Betting on college football is not the same as with the NFL, so make sure you separate the two. Because of the vast number of teams, the parity between college football programs is slight and thus, you are going to see some high numbers in the NCAA. Teams favored by more than 40 points are not uncommon especially early in the season when teams playing their non-conference schedules.
The best advice when trying to tackle these enormous spreads and is to just stay away. A team that is favored by 40 points is favored by that many for a reason while teams getting 40 points are bad enough that they shouldn’t be touched. Set yourself a spread limit. Getting rid of these games will cut down on the number of contests that you need to handicap while staying away from backdoor or front-door covers.
What is a backdoor and front-door cover you ask? A backdoor cover is a team that is getting beat by more than the spread, but scores late to get within that number thus covering the spread. A front-door cover is just the opposite where the favorite scores late and covers the number they are favored by.
These front-door and backdoor covers are common when second and third string players enter games in college football and it can be the worst nightmare for some bettors. These players can also be your best friend, but ask any bettor and he will give you more instances on losing in this situation than winning. It just seems to work out that way even though everything evens out in the end.
College football betting has some of the softest lines of any sport and it’s being able to find these lines that will make you a successful college football handicapper. The NFL and NBA have the tightest lines around and while those sports can be beat by looking at situations and systems, college football doesn’t quite work that way. It’s much more manual, but when done correctly, it’s much more gratifying as well.
Getting into the nuts and bolts of college football means looking at the many stats in order to beat the number. As opposed to pro football, college football is less dependent on situations and angles and more on certain statistics. Rushing offense and defense, pass efficiency offense and defense and turnover margins are huge. These are vital in the NFL, but even more so when it comes to college football.
Being able to run the ball in college football has always been a key factor in the overall success of a team. The same adage also goes for teams who have the ability to stop the run. Putting these two factors together can produce some positive results in a team’s record both straight up and against the spread. These numbers show huge differences in teams and the spread may not take those into effect, which is where the value comes into play.
Passing yardage numbers both for and against can be a misinterpreted statistic. However, pass efficiency has always been one of the best ways to look at a teams’ passing game ability both offensively and defensively. But is it really a true indication of how they perform? I wouldn’t say so since they are raw passing numbers with nothing else taken into consideration.
I use pass efficiency ratings when doing my handicapping but I adjust my numbers based on a number of factors including power ratings, strength of schedules, personnel and injuries. This gives a much better picture of a team’s ability to pass effectively and also being able to defend the pass. Tweaking pass efficiency stats instead of raw passing yards is the key.
Turnovers are the single most frustrating, and at times the most gratifying, aspect of a college football lines, mostly because they are so unpredictable. They are part of the game and most of the time nothing can be done to control them. However, turnovers are contagious and they can carry over from game to game and season to season.
It’s important to know how to forecast these unforeseen events and how to use them to your advantage. You can find ways to give yourself an edge by looking at past histories of teams and coaches and how they have fared in turnover wars in the past. Instead of turnovers hurting you at the wrong times, find ways to use them to your advantage.
As you can see, college football handicapping is very labor intensive and isn’t just based on where teams are ranked in the AP and coaches polls. Experience, coaching and match-ups are all important since unlike the NFL, college teams turn over much more often with new personnel at most positions every single year. Keeping current on this information is vital.
Betting NCAA football can be lucrative if done correctly, but more importantly, it’s just plain enjoyable because it can be beat. College football is one of the best sports to watch with some of the best rivalries taking place in all of sports. The only downfall is that a championship isn’t decided on the field but on a computer-based system that is the Bowl Championship Series. That will change someday and we will all be better off for it.
To visit this online sportsbook got to MySportsbook.com for all your NCAA college football betting needs. Mysportsbook.com online sportsbook accepts Visa and Mastercard credit cards.
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